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Le Havre vs Rennes

Fri 22 Jan 2027, 23:00 UTC · Round 17 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Le Havre win: 29.7%

Draw: 23.9%

Rennes win: 46.4%

Predicted: Rennes

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 47.5%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.51

More corners: Rennes (37.8% home / 62.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Rennes

Yes

Probability Rennes wins or draws: 63.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Rennes Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 30%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Corners Rennes (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Rennes win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (64.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.